EM-dedicated fund flows (up to June 7) amounted to US$2.3bn of inflows, an increase of US$500m from the week before. Hard currency funds saw nearly two-thirds of the inflows at US$1.8bn (1% AUM).Local currency funds also saw US$600m of inflows. This brings YTD inflows to US$22bn in hard currency and US$12bn in local currency. Inflows into ETFs stood at 40% of the total, up from 30% YTD. The majority of the ETF inflow is concentrated in one hard currency ETF, showing investors’ appetite for low-cost, passive investment.
China headline PPI slowed more than expected: May headline PPI came in at 5.5%Y,a tenth lower than consensus expectations, reflecting weak commodity prices. However, non-commodity PPI and core CPI in May did hold steady relative to April levels. Yesterday’s FX reserve numbers showed an increase of ~US$3bn in reserves after adjusting for valuation effects, marking the fourth consecutive month of reserve growth. While USD/CNY could move higher in the medium term, we believe that recent CNY appreciation versus USD is a tactical adjustment reflecting USD weakness, and we’ve advocated a tactically bullish stance on RMB.